Nürnberg II vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Nürnberg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nürnberg II vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Nürnberg II (1,951) and Illertissen (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nürnberg II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nürnberg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Illertissen 1-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nürnberg II 2-5 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Nürnberg II 2-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Illertissen 0-2 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Illertissen 3-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Nürnberg II 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Nürnberg II on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nürnberg II sit 15th in Regionalliga - Bayern (4 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nürnberg II vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Nürnberg II.
- Where and when is Nürnberg II vs Illertissen played?
- Nürnberg II vs Illertissen is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsAubstadt
- Mar 20, 2027FC Schweinfurt 05vsEichstätt
- Mar 20, 2027Bayern München IIvsBuchbach
- Mar 20, 2027BayreuthvsAnsbach
- Mar 20, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsAugsburg II
- Mar 20, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsTSV 1860 München
- Mar 20, 2027VilzingvsMemmingen
- Mar 20, 2027LandsbergvsWacker Burghausen