Illertissen vs FC Schweinfurt 05: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 28Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for FC Schweinfurt 05. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs FC Schweinfurt 05?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC Schweinfurt 05 have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Illertissen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Schweinfurt 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Schweinfurt 05 1-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Schweinfurt 05 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Illertissen 1-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Feb 18, 2023 | FC Schweinfurt 05 1-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Illertissen 4-3 FC Schweinfurt 05 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Illertissen on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schweinfurt 05 score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and FC Schweinfurt 05 sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs FC Schweinfurt 05?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for FC Schweinfurt 05.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs FC Schweinfurt 05 played?
- Illertissen vs FC Schweinfurt 05 is played on March 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027TSV 1860 MünchenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Mar 25, 2027EichstättvsEltersdorf
- Mar 25, 2027AubstadtvsBayreuth
- Mar 25, 2027Augsburg IIvsBayern München II
- Mar 25, 2027BuchbachvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Mar 25, 2027Wacker BurghausenvsMemmingen
- Mar 25, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsNürnberg II
- Mar 25, 2027AnsbachvsVilzing