Match

NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)MCU Park, New York

NY CosmosChattanooga Red Wolves

The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for NY Cosmos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Chattanooga Red Wolves starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,595).

NY Cosmos win29 %
Draw24 %
Chattanooga Red Wolves win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NY Cosmos have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NY Cosmos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)3-3USL League One
Aug 20, 2026Corpus Christi(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Alta(home)1-0USL League One
Aug 5, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)0-2USL League One
Jul 25, 2026Boise(home)1-2USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026NY Cosmos(home)3-3USL League One
Aug 19, 2026Sarasota Paradise(away)2-3USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Union Omaha(home)1-3USL League One
Jul 30, 2026Forward Madison(away)2-5USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 NY Cosmos win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-3 NY CosmosUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs NY Cosmos on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

NY Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
NY Cosmos0.91.948/159/15
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.71.7410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NY Cosmos sit 17th in USL League One (18 points from 21 matches) and Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th (32 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Chattanooga Red Wolves201028383232
17NY Cosmos215313244318

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for NY Cosmos.
Where and when is NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?
NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at MCU Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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