NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)MCU Park, New York
The Footlab AI model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for NY Cosmos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chattanooga Red Wolves wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Chattanooga Red Wolves starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NY Cosmos
4-3-3- 18C. Koffi
- 11N. Zielonka
- 8P. Spengler
- 13S. Guenzatti
- 19L. Jawneh
- 15O. Ramos
- 4M. Chilaka
- 6A. Holt
- 25J. Chavez
- 23D. Materazzi
- 26J. Garcia
Chattanooga Red Wolves
4-3-3- 10M. Bentley
- 15Dyson Clapier
- 9G. Mercer
- 7P. Hernandez
- 35A. Kelly-Rosales
- 4J. Vaughan
- 30A. Lombardi
- 33J. Ayimbila
- 23Y. Lelin
- 22E. Kinzner
- 1J. Smith
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NY Cosmos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chattanooga Red Wolves have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Naples(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 7, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 0-3 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Naples(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 NY Cosmos wins, 1 draw, 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-3 NY Cosmos | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs NY Cosmos on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NY Cosmos score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Cosmos | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NY Cosmos sit 17th in USL League One (25 points from 30 matches) and Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th (46 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 44 | 46 |
| 17 | NY Cosmos | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 62 | 25 |
A question about NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for NY Cosmos.
- Where and when is NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?
- NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at MCU Park, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves