Nyasa Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kamuzu Stadium, Blantyre
The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Kamuzu Barracks. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyasa Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyasa Big Bullets have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Kamuzu Barracks have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nyasa Big Bullets win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kamuzu Barracks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Kamuzu Barracks 0-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| May 24, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 4-0 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-0 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Kamuzu Barracks 0-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-2 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kamuzu Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kamuzu Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyasa Big Bullets sit 4th in Super League (27 points from 14 matches) and Kamuzu Barracks sit 15th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyasa Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks?
- The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Kamuzu Barracks.
- Where and when is Nyasa Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks played?
- Nyasa Big Bullets vs Kamuzu Barracks is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kamuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.