Mitundu Baptist vs Moyale Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Moyale Barracks. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mitundu Baptist vs Moyale Barracks?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Mitundu Baptist (1,468) and Moyale Barracks (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mitundu Baptist have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Moyale Barracks have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mitundu Baptist win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Moyale Barracks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Moyale Barracks 2-0 Mitundu Baptist | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Moyale Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mitundu Baptist score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; Moyale Barracks score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitundu Baptist | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/14 | 3/14 |
| Moyale Barracks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mitundu Baptist sit 7th in Super League (19 points from 14 matches) and Moyale Barracks sit 9th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mitundu Baptist vs Moyale Barracks?
- The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Moyale Barracks.
- Where and when is Mitundu Baptist vs Moyale Barracks played?
- Mitundu Baptist vs Moyale Barracks is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.