Chitipa United vs Red Lions: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for Red Lions. The most likely score is 0-0. If Chitipa United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chitipa United vs Red Lions?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Chitipa United (1,452) and Red Lions (1,394).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chitipa United vs Red Lions
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chitipa United
Not enough data to predict the Chitipa United lineup.
Red Lions
Not enough data to predict the Red Lions lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chitipa United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Red Lions have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Creck(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chitipa United wins, 0 draws, 3 Red Lions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Red Lions 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Chitipa United 1-0 Red Lions | Super League |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Red Lions 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Chitipa United 2-1 Red Lions | Super League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Red Lions 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Lions vs Chitipa United on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chitipa United score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Red Lions score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Red Lions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chitipa United sit 5th in Super League (24 points from 16 matches) and Red Lions sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
A question about Chitipa United vs Red Lions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chitipa United vs Red Lions?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for Red Lions.
- Where and when is Chitipa United vs Red Lions played?
- Chitipa United vs Red Lions is played on December 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.