Match

Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa: prediction and stats

NB III - NortheastNortheast - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Nyiregyhaza IITarpa

The Footlab model makes Nyiregyhaza II the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Nyiregyhaza II (1,417) and Tarpa (1,444).

Nyiregyhaza II win58 %
Draw22 %
Tarpa win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyiregyhaza II have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Tarpa have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nyiregyhaza II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Eger(away)1-2NB III - Northeast
Aug 12, 2026Füzesabony(away)0-1NB III - Northeast
Aug 8, 2026DEAC(home)2-4NB III - Northeast
Jul 25, 2026Diósgyőr II(home)3-1NB III - Northeast
May 24, 2026DEAC(away)1-3NB III - Northeast
Tarpa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Emodi(away)1-1Magyar Kupa
Aug 15, 2026Ózd Sajóvölgye(away)0-4NB III - Northeast
Aug 12, 2026DEAC(away)0-4NB III - Northeast
Aug 9, 2026Eger(home)1-2NB III - Northeast
Jul 26, 2026Füzesabony(home)2-1NB III - Northeast

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nyiregyhaza II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tarpa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Nyiregyhaza II 1-0 TarpaNB III - Northeast
Sep 21, 2025Tarpa 5-2 Nyiregyhaza IINB III - Northeast

Last archived meeting: Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nyiregyhaza II score 2.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nyiregyhaza II2.62.0310/1512/15
Tarpa1.01.438/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nyiregyhaza II sit 11th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Nyiregyhaza II4103683
15Tarpa41033113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa?
The Footlab model makes Nyiregyhaza II the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Tarpa.
Where and when is Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa played?
Nyiregyhaza II vs Tarpa is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the NB III - Northeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nyiregyhaza II and Tarpa

Ready to know everything about football?