Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, Mátészalka
The Footlab model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Ózd Sajóvölgye. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
Ózd Sajóvölgye starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,415 vs 1,309).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mátészalka have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ózd Sajóvölgye have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ibrány SE(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tarpa(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ózd Sajóvölgye score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ózd Sajóvölgye | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mátészalka sit 6th in NB III - Northeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Ózd Sajóvölgye sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye?
- The Footlab model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Ózd Sajóvölgye.
- Where and when is Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye played?
- Mátészalka vs Ózd Sajóvölgye is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.