Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Inhulets the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Nyva Ternopil (1,568) and Inhulets (1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Inhulets have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Nyva Ternopil win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Inhulets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets 1-2 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 0-1 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Inhulets 2-2 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Inhulets score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Inhulets | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil sit 8th in Persha Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Inhulets sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets?
- The Footlab model makes Inhulets the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets played?
- Nyva Ternopil vs Inhulets is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.