Polissya II vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Polissya II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernihiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polissya II vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Polissya II (1,682) and Chernihiv (1,674).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polissya II vs Chernihiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polissya II
4-3-3- 62M. Danfakha
- 28B. Makouana
- 97M. Hryshchenko
- 38Y. Karaman
- 72V. Kramar
- 88B. Panchyshyn
- 33V. Mezentsev
- 3Oleksii Avramenko
- 94D. Gryshkevych
- 4M. Kravchenko
- 12A. Drobot
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 77M. Serdyuk
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 2E. Galstyan
- 20D. Fateev
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 35M. Tatarenko
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polissya II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Chernihiv have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-4 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 3-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Polissya II wins, 1 draw, 0 Chernihiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chernihiv 2-2 Polissya II | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Polissya II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polissya II score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polissya II sit 16th in Persha Liga (7 points from 11 matches) and Chernihiv sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 7 |
A question about Polissya II vs Chernihiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polissya II vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Polissya II.
- Where and when is Polissya II vs Chernihiv played?
- Polissya II vs Chernihiv is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.