UCSA vs SK Poltava: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes UCSA the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for SK Poltava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs SK Poltava?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate UCSA (1,604) and SK Poltava (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SK Poltava have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mayak Sarny(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UCSA win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SK Poltava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK Poltava 0-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2024 | SK Poltava 1-1 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | UCSA 1-3 SK Poltava | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SK Poltava score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| SK Poltava | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 6th in Persha Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and SK Poltava sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SK Poltava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | UCSA | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs SK Poltava?
- The Footlab model makes UCSA the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for SK Poltava.
- Where and when is UCSA vs SK Poltava played?
- UCSA vs SK Poltava is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.