UCSA vs SK Poltava: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1. If SK Poltava wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs SK Poltava?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate UCSA (1,618) and SK Poltava (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCSA vs SK Poltava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 71Ruan Santos
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 42D. Makhnev
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 12A. Kovalev
SK Poltava
4-3-3- 17B. Kobzar
- 8V. Odaryuk
- 88O. Vivdych
- 11D. Kasimov
- 10V. Sad
- 97S. Seytkhalilov
- 19M. Buzhyn
- 2M. Kononov
- 13A. Savenkov
- 33O. Veremienko
- 1M. Minchev
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; SK Poltava have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UCSA wins, 2 draws, 1 SK Poltava win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK Poltava 0-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Oct 10, 2024 | SK Poltava 1-1 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | UCSA 1-3 SK Poltava | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; SK Poltava score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| SK Poltava | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 14th in Persha Liga (10 points from 11 matches) and SK Poltava sit 4th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SK Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
A question about UCSA vs SK Poltava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs SK Poltava?
- The Footlab AI model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for UCSA.
- Where and when is UCSA vs SK Poltava played?
- UCSA vs SK Poltava is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.