Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yuvileinyi, Sumy
The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viktoriya Mykolaivka have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nyva Ternopil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Viktoriya Mykolaivka win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nyva Ternopil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 1-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 2-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 3-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 0-0 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2018 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2-1 Nyva Ternopil | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viktoriya Mykolaivka sit 1st in Persha Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and Nyva Ternopil sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil?
- The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil played?
- Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Nyva Ternopil is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yuvileinyi, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.