O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas
The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Benfica Castelo Branco. The most likely score is 1-1. If O Elvas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,883 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate O Elvas (1,895) and Benfica Castelo Branco (1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Benfica Castelo Branco
4-3-3- 85N. Gaspar
- 16A. Vagarinho
- 11Sacra
- 23G. Isaias
- 6David Peres
- 21J. Cruz
- 2Pedro Vieira
- 4P. Correia
- 15F. Celestino
- 22D. Preto
- 1D. Romana
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O Elvas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Benfica Castelo Branco have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 O Elvas wins, 0 draws, 0 Benfica Castelo Branco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco 1-3 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Benfica Castelo Branco 0-2 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 15, 2024 | O Elvas 3-0 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Benfica Castelo Branco vs O Elvas on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
O Elvas score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Elvas | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.2 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O Elvas sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
A question about O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
- The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Benfica Castelo Branco.
- Where and when is O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco played?
- O Elvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.