Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio das Seixas, Malveira, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for UD da Serra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Malveira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Atlético Malveira (1,854) and UD da Serra (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Malveira
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Malveira lineup.
UD da Serra
4-3-3- 9I. Nabais
- 17D. Gameiro
- 11Vieirinha
- 23G. Isaias
- 10M. Pereira
- 20W. Costa
- 3T. F. Justino G.
- 6R. Rodrigues
- 92B. Castro
- 2T. Neto
- 1D. Santos
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Malveira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; UD da Serra have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD da Serra(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amora(away) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atlético Malveira wins, 1 draw, 0 UD da Serra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD da Serra 1-1 Atlético Malveira | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: UD da Serra vs Atlético Malveira on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; UD da Serra score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| UD da Serra | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Malveira sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (8 points from 6 matches) and UD da Serra sit 5th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for UD da Serra.
- Where and when is Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra played?
- Atlético Malveira vs UD da Serra is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio das Seixas, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.