Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Marko Mock Arena, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Oberneuland the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Aumund-Vegesack. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Oberneuland (1,691) and Aumund-Vegesack (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oberneuland have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Aumund-Vegesack have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union Bremen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 5, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Oberneuland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Aumund-Vegesack win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Oberneuland 5-1 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 0-3 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Oberneuland 4-1 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-1 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Oberneuland 1-5 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Aumund-Vegesack 2-5 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oberneuland score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oberneuland | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oberneuland sit 11th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 2 matches) and Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Oberneuland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack?
- The Footlab model makes Oberneuland the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Aumund-Vegesack.
- Where and when is Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack played?
- Oberneuland vs Aumund-Vegesack is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Marko Mock Arena, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.