BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SPA Erlenstraße, Platz 1, Bremen
The Footlab model makes BTS Neustadt the favourite at 56%, against 16% for a draw and 27% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 3-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate BTS Neustadt (1,719) and Geestemünde (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BTS Neustadt have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(home) | 9-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BTS Neustadt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Geestemünde 1-3 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | BTS Neustadt 2-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BTS Neustadt 1-3 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Geestemünde 4-0 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 29, 2024 | BTS Neustadt 4-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Geestemünde 6-2 BTS Neustadt | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs BTS Neustadt on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BTS Neustadt score 3.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 92% probability of over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTS Neustadt | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 15/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BTS Neustadt sit 15th in Oberliga - Bremen (0 points from 3 matches) and Geestemünde sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Geestemünde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 15 | BTS Neustadt | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes BTS Neustadt the favourite at 56%, against 16% for a draw and 27% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde played?
- BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Erlenstraße, Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 92% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.