Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Kolos Kovalivka the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Kolos Kovalivka starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,845 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Obolon'-Brovar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Obolon'-Brovar win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Kolos Kovalivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Cup |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-2 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon'-Brovar on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka?
- The Footlab model makes Kolos Kovalivka the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka played?
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.