Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Polessya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shakhtar Donetsk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,199 vs 2,097).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polessya
4-1-4-1- 95I. Krasnopir
- 10V. Veleten
- 11Leandro Andrade
- 8R. Babenko
- 14L. Emërllahu
- 27O. Fedor
- 5E. Sarapiy
- 44S. Chobotenko
- 15B. Mykhailichenko
- 31G. Maisuradze
- 1O. Kudryk
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 2L. Traoré
- 8D. Kryskiv
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 99Bruninho
- 11Newertton
- 14Isaque
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 20O. Karavaev
- 5V. Bondar
- 31D. Riznyk
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Polessya wins, 1 draw, 2 Shakhtar Donetsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Polessya 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Polessya 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Polessya 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Polessya | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 1st in Premier League (25 points from 10 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
A question about Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Polessya.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
- Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.