Karpaty vs Livyi Bereh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Livyi Bereh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Livyi Bereh?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Livyi Bereh have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Karpaty win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Livyi Bereh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 2-3 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Karpaty 3-0 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Karpaty 3-3 Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Livyi Bereh 0-1 Karpaty | Persha Liga |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Karpaty 2-0 Livyi Bereh | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty on May 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Livyi Bereh sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Livyi Bereh?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Livyi Bereh.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Livyi Bereh played?
- Karpaty vs Livyi Bereh is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.