Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Odorheiu Secuiesc
The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Gheorgheni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Odorheiu Secuiesc (1,466) and Gheorgheni (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odorheiu Secuiesc have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Gheorgheni have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Odorheiu Secuiesc win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gheorgheni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gheorgheni 1-0 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gheorgheni 2-1 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 2-1 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Gheorgheni 4-2 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Gheorgheni 2-1 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Cupa României |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Gheorgheni 0-2 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Gheorgheni vs Odorheiu Secuiesc on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odorheiu Secuiesc score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gheorgheni score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gheorgheni | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odorheiu Secuiesc sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 1 (40 points from 7 matches) and Gheorgheni sit 7th (34 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni?
- The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Gheorgheni.
- Where and when is Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni played?
- Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Gheorgheni is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.