Târgu Secuiesc vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Doctor Sinkovits, Târgu Secuiesc
The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Târgu Secuiesc vs USV Iaşi?
Târgu Secuiesc starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Târgu Secuiesc have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Târgu Secuiesc score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Târgu Secuiesc | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Târgu Secuiesc vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is Târgu Secuiesc vs USV Iaşi played?
- Târgu Secuiesc vs USV Iaşi is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Doctor Sinkovits, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.