Odranci vs Šampion Celje: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Športni park, Odranci
The Footlab model makes Odranci the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Šampion Celje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odranci vs Šampion Celje?
Odranci starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,418).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odranci have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Šampion Celje have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ljutomer(home) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Fužinar(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Sep 18, 2024 | NK Polana(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Črenšovci(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Čarda Martjanci(away) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Žalec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Krško(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Mozirje(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Odranci score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Šampion Celje score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odranci | 2.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 13/15 |
| Šampion Celje | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odranci sit 1st in 3. SNL - East (6 points from 2 matches) and Šampion Celje sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odranci | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Šampion Celje | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odranci vs Šampion Celje?
- The Footlab model makes Odranci the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Šampion Celje.
- Where and when is Odranci vs Šampion Celje played?
- Odranci vs Šampion Celje is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.