Ljutomer vs Šmartno: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Ljutomer, Ljutomer
The Footlab model makes Ljutomer the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Šmartno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ljutomer vs Šmartno?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Ljutomer (1,419) and Šmartno (1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ljutomer have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Šmartno have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odranci(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dobrovce(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Videm(home) | 6-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Dobrovce(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 6-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ljutomer win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Šmartno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ljutomer 2-3 Šmartno | 3. SNL - East |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Šmartno 4-2 Ljutomer | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Ljutomer score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ljutomer | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ljutomer sit 5th in 3. SNL - East (3 points from 2 matches) and Šmartno sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ljutomer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ljutomer vs Šmartno?
- The Footlab model makes Ljutomer the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Šmartno.
- Where and when is Ljutomer vs Šmartno played?
- Ljutomer vs Šmartno is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Ljutomer, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.