OFI vs Panathinaikos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for OFI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFI vs Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Panathinaikos have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 OFI win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Panathinaikos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Panathinaikos 4-1 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | OFI 0-2 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Panathinaikos 3-2 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | OFI 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OFI 2-2 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Panathinaikos 4-0 OFI | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Panathinaikos score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFI vs Panathinaikos?
- The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for OFI.
- Where and when is OFI vs Panathinaikos played?
- OFI vs Panathinaikos is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.