PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Olympiakos Piraeus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate PAOK (2,071) and Olympiakos Piraeus (2,098).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PAOK win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | PAOK 3-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2 PAOK | Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | PAOK 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| May 4, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAOK sit 2nd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Olympiakos Piraeus.
- Where and when is PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
- PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.