PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Olympiakos Piraeus. The most likely score is 1-1. If PAOK wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate PAOK (2,119) and Olympiakos Piraeus (2,189).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PAOK
4-2-3-1- 27C. Ndiaye
- 20C. Zafeiris
- 18K. Jakić
- 11Taison
- 14A. Živković
- 16O. Ugresić
- 3J. Kenny
- 5G. Michailidis
- 19Diego Costa
- 21A. Baba
- 41D. Monastirlis
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1- 99M. Mouandilmadji
- 15G. Puerta
- 19R. Freuler
- 7K. Fortounis
- 22Chiquinho
- 20Jota Silva
- 45P. Retsos
- 5L. Pirola
- 71N. Tiknizyan
- 27M. Pedersen
- 1S. Ortega
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kalamata(home) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PAOK wins, 2 draws, 1 Olympiakos Piraeus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | PAOK 3-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2 PAOK | Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | PAOK 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| May 4, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAOK sit 3rd in Super League 1 (15 points from 7 matches) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
A question about PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Olympiakos Piraeus.
- Where and when is PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
- PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.