Ogre vs Jēkabpils: result 3-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 16, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ogres stadions, Ogre
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What was the result of Ogre vs Jēkabpils?
Ogre won 3-2 on October 16, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ogre have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Jēkabpils have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Tukums(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Smiltene(away) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 18, 2016 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Olaine / Super Nova(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Olaine / Super Nova(home) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Auda(home) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Babīte(away) | 0-12 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 10, 2016 | RTU(home) | 0-8 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ogre win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jēkabpils win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2016 | Jēkabpils 3-3 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2015 | Jēkabpils 1-2 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Jun 7, 2015 | Ogre 1-4 Jēkabpils | 1. Liga |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Jēkabpils 3-2 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Ogre 7-0 Jēkabpils | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ogre score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jēkabpils score 1.3 and concede 5.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Jēkabpils | 1.3 | 5.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy