Oleksandria II vs Karbon Cherkasy: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KSK Olimp, Oleksandriia
The Footlab model makes Karbon Cherkasy the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Oleksandria II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria II vs Karbon Cherkasy?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Oleksandria II (1,561) and Karbon Cherkasy (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Karbon Cherkasy have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Chornomorets II(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Livyi Bereg 2(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rebel(away) | 5-3 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Inhulets(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karbon Cherkasy score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Karbon Cherkasy | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria II sit 2nd in Druha Liga (5 points from 3 matches) and Karbon Cherkasy sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Karbon Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria II vs Karbon Cherkasy?
- The Footlab model makes Karbon Cherkasy the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Oleksandria II.
- Where and when is Oleksandria II vs Karbon Cherkasy played?
- Oleksandria II vs Karbon Cherkasy is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KSK Olimp, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.