Lozova vs Metalurh Zaporizhya: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lozova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Metalurh Zaporizhya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lozova vs Metalurh Zaporizhya?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Lozova (1,519) and Metalurh Zaporizhya (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Lozova have 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Metalurh Zaporizhya have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lozova score 0.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 4; Metalurh Zaporizhya score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lozova | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lozova sit 9th in Druha Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Metalurh Zaporizhya sit 6th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lozova vs Metalurh Zaporizhya?
- The Footlab model makes Lozova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Where and when is Lozova vs Metalurh Zaporizhya played?
- Lozova vs Metalurh Zaporizhya is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.