Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Tábua, Tábua
The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Naval 1893. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Oliveira Hospital (1,885) and Naval 1893 (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveira Hospital have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Naval 1893 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 4-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Oliveira Hospital win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Naval 1893 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Naval 1893 0-0 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Oliveira Hospital 0-1 Naval 1893 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Naval 1893 vs Oliveira Hospital on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oliveira Hospital score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Naval 1893 score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveira Hospital | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Naval 1893 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oliveira Hospital sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (3 points from 2 matches) and Naval 1893 sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Naval 1893 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893?
- The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Naval 1893.
- Where and when is Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893 played?
- Oliveira Hospital vs Naval 1893 is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Tábua, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.