OLS vs Tampere United: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Raatin stadion, Oulu
The Footlab model makes Tampere United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for OLS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OLS vs Tampere United?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate OLS (1,562) and Tampere United (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OLS have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tampere United have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SalPa(away) | 1-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rops(home) | 3-3 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC jazz(away) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | TPV(home) | 4-2 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KPV-j(home) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rops(home) | 4-0 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TPV(home) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | JJK(away) | 0-0 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | KPV-j(home) | 6-0 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | PKKU(away) | 4-4 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OLS win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tampere United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Tampere United 3-0 OLS | Ykkönen |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Tampere United 0-2 OLS | Ykkönen |
| Aug 30, 2025 | OLS 1-3 Tampere United | Ykkönen |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Tampere United 2-2 OLS | Ykkönen |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Tampere United 0-0 OLS | Kakkonen - Lohko C |
| May 19, 2018 | OLS 2-1 Tampere United | Kakkonen - Lohko C |
Last archived meeting: Tampere United vs OLS on Jun 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OLS score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tampere United score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLS | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Tampere United | 2.4 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OLS sit 6th in Ykkönen (31 points from 21 matches) and Tampere United sit 1st (44 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 16 | 44 |
| 1 | Tampere United | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | OLS | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | OLS | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 34 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OLS vs Tampere United?
- The Footlab model makes Tampere United the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for OLS.
- Where and when is OLS vs Tampere United played?
- OLS vs Tampere United is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Raatin stadion, in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.