Oltrepò vs Pontedera: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Oltrepò the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oltrepò wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oltrepò vs Pontedera?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Oltrepò (1,658) and Pontedera (1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oltrepò vs Pontedera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oltrepò
Not enough data to predict the Oltrepò lineup.
Pontedera
4-3-3- 25Herculano Nabian
- 28A. Raychev
- 17P. Vitali
- 8F. Faggi
- 20R. Pietrelli
- 10E. Kabashi
- 13M. Å apola
- 23C. Cerretti
- 94L. Piana
- 3D. Leo
- 21V. Biagini
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oltrepò have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Pontedera have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 1-6 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Oltrepò score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontedera score 0.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oltrepò | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pontedera | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oltrepò sit 17th in Serie D - Girone D (3 points from 7 matches) and Pontedera sit 18th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Oltrepò vs Pontedera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oltrepò vs Pontedera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oltrepò the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Pontedera.
- Where and when is Oltrepò vs Pontedera played?
- Oltrepò vs Pontedera is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.