Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,845 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cittadella Vis Modena have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Pistoiese wins, 1 draw, 2 Cittadella Vis Modena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Pistoiese 5-0 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-2 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Pistoiese 1-2 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 1.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone D (24 points from 8 matches) and Cittadella Vis Modena sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena played?
- Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.