Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cittadella Vis Modena have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pistoiese win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cittadella Vis Modena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Pistoiese 5-0 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-2 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Pistoiese 1-2 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (68 points from 33 matches) and Cittadella Vis Modena sit 7th (55 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistoiese | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 68 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
- The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena played?
- Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.