Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Unité Maghrébine, Béjaïa
The Footlab model makes Olympique Akbou the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Olympique Akbou (1,854) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympique Akbou have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | USM Alger(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | MC Alger(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | JS Kabylie(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Olympique Akbou win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | USM Alger 1-0 Olympique Akbou | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Olympique Akbou 1-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 26, 2025 | USM Alger 1-1 Olympique Akbou | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Olympique Akbou 0-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: USM Alger vs Olympique Akbou on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympique Akbou score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Akbou | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympique Akbou sit 6th in Ligue 1 (45 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 45 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes Olympique Akbou the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger played?
- Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Unité Maghrébine, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.