Omonia Aradippou vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Omonia Aradippou the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Aradippou vs AEL?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Omonia Aradippou (1,750) and AEL (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Aradippou have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AEL have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Omonia Aradippou win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou 0-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Mar 14, 2026 | AEL 1-2 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 1-2 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Omonia Aradippou 2-2 AEL | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2024 | AEL 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Aradippou vs AEL on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Aradippou score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Aradippou sit 9th in 1. Division (42 points from 33 matches) and AEL sit 8th (44 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Aradippou vs AEL?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Aradippou the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEL.
- Where and when is Omonia Aradippou vs AEL played?
- Omonia Aradippou vs AEL is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.