Omonia Aradippou vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEL wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Aradippou vs AEL?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Omonia Aradippou (1,782) and AEL (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Omonia Aradippou vs AEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Omonia Aradippou
4-4-1-1- 9G. Pontikos
- 7M. Koumouris
- 8A. El Bouchataoui
- 21K. Evripidou
- 10J. Schmidt
- 35P. Polycarpou
- 34Danny Agostinho Henriques
- 14J. van Mullem
- 81V. De Marco
- 20Jairo Izquierdo
- 12Ž. Živković
AEL
4-2-3-1- 77F. Mughe
- 11L. Singh
- 20João Tavares
- 30G. Papageorgiou
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 19I. Milosavljević
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 1S. Kapino
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Aradippou have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AEL have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Omonia Aradippou win, 1 draw, 4 AEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou 0-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Mar 14, 2026 | AEL 1-2 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 1-2 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Omonia Aradippou 2-2 AEL | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2024 | AEL 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Aradippou vs AEL on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Aradippou score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Aradippou sit 6th in 1. Division (6 points from 4 matches) and AEL sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Omonia Aradippou vs AEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Aradippou vs AEL?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is Omonia Aradippou vs AEL played?
- Omonia Aradippou vs AEL is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.