Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
Omonia Nicosia is a heavy favourite: 2,078 Elo points against 1,755 — a 323-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Olympiakos have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Omonia Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olympiakos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 5-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Olympiakos 0-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Olympiakos 0-1 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Omonia Nicosia 4-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| May 20, 2022 | Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Olympiakos 3-0 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Nicosia sit 1st in 1. Division (87 points from 36 matches) and Olympiakos sit 11th (40 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.