Where and when is One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Covenant Health Park, Knoxville, Tennessee

One Knoxville

Chattanooga Red Wolves

The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate One Knoxville (1,792) and Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,710).

One Knoxville win56 %

Draw23 %

Chattanooga Red Wolves win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, One Knoxville have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

One Knoxville
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Boise(home)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	NY Cosmos(home)	3-3	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(away)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Fort Wayne(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Union Omaha(home)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 30, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	2-5	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 One Knoxville win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville	USL League One
Jun 10, 2026	One Knoxville 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves	USL League One Cup
Oct 1, 2025	One Knoxville 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves	USL League One
Jul 26, 2025	Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville	USL League One Cup
Jul 5, 2025	Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville	USL League One
Oct 5, 2024	Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 One Knoxville	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
One Knoxville	1.7	1.3	2	12/15	9/15
Chattanooga Red Wolves	1.7	1.7	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

One Knoxville sit 4th in USL League One (39 points from 22 matches) and Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th (32 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	One Knoxville	22	11	6	5	37	25	39
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	20	10	2	8	38	32	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?: The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Where and when is One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?: One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.