Where and when is One Knoxville vs Westchester SC played?

One Knoxville vs Westchester SC is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

One Knoxville vs Westchester SC: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Covenant Health Park, Knoxville, Tennessee

One Knoxville

Westchester SC

The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Westchester SC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win One Knoxville vs Westchester SC?

One Knoxville starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,620).

One Knoxville win66 %

Draw20 %

Westchester SC win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, One Knoxville have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Westchester SC have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

One Knoxville
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Boise(home)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

Westchester SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Corpus Christi(away)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Naples(home)	3-2	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 26, 2026	Alta(away)	0-0	USL League One
Jul 22, 2026	NY Cosmos(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 One Knoxville win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Westchester SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Westchester SC 2-3 One Knoxville	USL League One
Jul 19, 2025	One Knoxville 1-1 Westchester SC	USL League One
Jun 7, 2025	Westchester SC 1-1 One Knoxville	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Westchester SC vs One Knoxville on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Westchester SC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
One Knoxville	1.7	1.3	2	12/15	9/15
Westchester SC	1.5	1.4	3	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

One Knoxville sit 4th in USL League One (39 points from 22 matches) and Westchester SC sit 12th (23 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	One Knoxville	22	11	6	5	37	25	39
12	Westchester SC	21	6	5	10	33	31	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for One Knoxville vs Westchester SC?: The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Westchester SC.
Where and when is One Knoxville vs Westchester SC played?: One Knoxville vs Westchester SC is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.