Where and when is Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville played?

Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at City Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)City Stadium, Richmond, Virginia

Richmond Kickers

One Knoxville

The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Richmond Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?

One Knoxville starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,568).

Richmond Kickers win21 %

Draw24 %

One Knoxville win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richmond Kickers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; One Knoxville have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Richmond Kickers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Union Omaha(away)	1-5	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	NY Cosmos(home)	2-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Alta(home)	3-2	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

One Knoxville
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Boise(home)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Richmond Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 One Knoxville win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	One Knoxville 1-0 Richmond Kickers	USL League One
Oct 4, 2025	Richmond Kickers 2-1 One Knoxville	USL League One
Aug 23, 2025	Richmond Kickers 1-0 One Knoxville	USL League One
Aug 20, 2025	One Knoxville 2-0 Richmond Kickers	USL League One
Jun 1, 2024	One Knoxville 1-2 Richmond Kickers	USL League One
May 3, 2024	Richmond Kickers 1-1 One Knoxville	USL League One

Last archived meeting: One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Richmond Kickers score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Richmond Kickers	0.9	2.1	2	8/15	8/15
One Knoxville	1.7	1.3	2	12/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Richmond Kickers sit 16th in USL League One (19 points from 21 matches) and One Knoxville sit 4th (39 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	One Knoxville	22	11	6	5	37	25	39
16	Richmond Kickers	21	5	4	12	20	41	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?: The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Richmond Kickers.
Where and when is Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville played?: Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at City Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.