Orange County SC vs Lexington: result 2-2 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, California
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What was the result of Orange County SC vs Lexington?
Orange County SC and Lexington drew 2-2 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′Grayson DoodyOrange County SC
- 45′B. P. RodriguesLexington
- 53′M. EppsLexington
- 90′M. WarOrange County SC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orange County SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lexington have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Oakland Roots(home) | 4-2 | USL Championship |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Ventura County(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Memphis 901(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Louisville City(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Detroit City(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Orange County SC score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington score 1.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lexington | 1.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orange County SC sit 2nd in USL Championship (20 points from 12 matches) and Lexington sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orange County SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 34 |
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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