Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Behrn Arena, Örebro
The Footlab model makes Ljungskile SK the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Orebro SK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK?
Ljungskile SK starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orebro SK have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ljungskile SK have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 4-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Franke(away) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 2-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 2-2 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Orebro SK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ljungskile SK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ljungskile SK 3-2 Orebro SK | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Ljungskile SK vs Orebro SK on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orebro SK score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ljungskile SK score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ljungskile SK | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orebro SK sit 14th in Superettan (19 points from 20 matches) and Ljungskile SK sit 11th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK?
- The Footlab model makes Ljungskile SK the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Orebro SK.
- Where and when is Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK played?
- Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Behrn Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.