IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo
The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF?
Falkenbergs FF starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Varnamo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Falkenbergs FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norrby IF(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 IFK Varnamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Falkenbergs FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF 3-1 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IFK Varnamo 1-0 Falkenbergs FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2021 | IFK Varnamo 3-2 Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| Jul 10, 2021 | IFK Varnamo 0-1 Falkenbergs FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2021 | Falkenbergs FF 0-3 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Falkenbergs FF 3-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Varnamo score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Falkenbergs FF score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Falkenbergs FF | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Varnamo sit 14th in Superettan (19 points from 20 matches) and Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 29 | 35 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF?
- The Footlab model makes Falkenbergs FF the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF played?
- IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Finnvedsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.