Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jämtkraft Arena, Östersund
The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Varbergs BoIS FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ostersunds FK (1,686) and Varbergs BoIS FC (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostersunds FK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Varbergs BoIS FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ostersunds FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-2 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-1 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| May 11, 2025 | Ostersunds FK 0-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Ostersunds FK 2-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Varbergs BoIS FC 2-0 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-0 Ostersunds FK | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ostersunds FK on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostersunds FK score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Varbergs BoIS FC score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostersunds FK sit 4th in Superettan (34 points from 20 matches) and Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 34 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Varbergs BoIS FC.
- Where and when is Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC played?
- Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jämtkraft Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.