Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC)Behrn Arena, Örebro
The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Orebro SK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Orebro SK (1,594) and Ostersunds FK (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orebro SK have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ostersunds FK have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 4-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orebro SK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ostersunds FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ostersunds FK 3-2 Orebro SK | Superettan |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Orebro SK 2-0 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Ostersunds FK 0-0 Orebro SK | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2025 | Ostersunds FK 3-1 Orebro SK | Superettan |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Orebro SK 3-1 Ostersunds FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Orebro SK 4-1 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Ostersunds FK vs Orebro SK on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orebro SK score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ostersunds FK score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ostersunds FK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orebro SK sit 14th in Superettan (19 points from 20 matches) and Ostersunds FK sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK?
- The Footlab model makes Ostersunds FK the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Orebro SK.
- Where and when is Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK played?
- Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK is played on September 7, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC) at Behrn Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.