IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo
The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Varbergs BoIS FC starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Varnamo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Varbergs BoIS FC have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 IFK Varnamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC 3-2 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-3 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
| May 9, 2023 | IFK Varnamo 3-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 11, 2023 | IFK Varnamo 1-2 Varbergs BoIS FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2022 | IFK Varnamo 1-0 Varbergs BoIS FC | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Varbergs BoIS FC 3-0 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Varnamo on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Varnamo score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Varbergs BoIS FC score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Varnamo sit 14th in Superettan (18 points from 19 matches) and Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 34 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
- The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC played?
- IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Finnvedsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.