Oriku vs Burreli: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fusha Sportive Orikum, Orikum
The Footlab model makes Oriku the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Burreli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriku vs Burreli?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Oriku (1,494) and Burreli (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriku have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Burreli have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FK Kukesi(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Tomori Berat(home) | 3-2 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Memaliaj(away) | 7-0 | 2nd Division - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 4-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lushnja(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-3 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oriku win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Burreli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Oriku 2-1 Burreli | 1st Division |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Burreli 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Burreli 2-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Oriku 1-1 Burreli | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Oriku score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burreli score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriku | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Burreli | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 45 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriku vs Burreli?
- The Footlab model makes Oriku the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Burreli.
- Where and when is Oriku vs Burreli played?
- Oriku vs Burreli is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fusha Sportive Orikum, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.