Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Besa Kavajë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Besa Kavajë?
Besa Kavajë starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,641 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Besa Kavajë have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Besa Kavajë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Besa Kavajë 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Besa Kavajë 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Besa Kavajë 1-4 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-0 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Besa Kavajë score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Besa Kavajë | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Besa Kavajë | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Besa Kavajë?
- The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Besa Kavajë played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Besa Kavajë is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.