Pogradeci vs Flamurtari: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec
The Footlab model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Flamurtari. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Pogradeci (1,734) and Flamurtari (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Flamurtari have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 11, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-3 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pogradeci win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Flamurtari win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | Flamurtari 1-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Pogradeci 0-0 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Flamurtari 4-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Flamurtari 0-1 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Pogradeci 2-1 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Pogradeci 0-2 Flamurtari | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Flamurtari vs Pogradeci on Mar 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pogradeci score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flamurtari score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogradeci | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Flamurtari | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 68 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
- The Footlab model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Flamurtari.
- Where and when is Pogradeci vs Flamurtari played?
- Pogradeci vs Flamurtari is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.