Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Buffalo City Stadium, East London
The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Chippa United. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,047 Elo points against 1,657 — a 389-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chippa United have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 3-2 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chippa United win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Mamelodi Sundowns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Chippa United 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| May 14, 2025 | Chippa United 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| May 7, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Chippa United 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chippa United score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippa United | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chippa United sit 13th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Chippa United.
- Where and when is Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Buffalo City Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.