TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for TS Galaxy. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TS Galaxy have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 12, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TS Galaxy win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Orlando Pirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | TS Galaxy 0-6 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 2-0 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| May 17, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-1 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | TS Galaxy 0-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| May 18, 2024 | TS Galaxy 1-0 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TS Galaxy score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TS Galaxy sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for TS Galaxy.
- Where and when is TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates played?
- TS Galaxy vs Orlando Pirates is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Mbombela Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.