Orsomarso vs Popayan: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera BClausura - 5Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Full time
What was the result of Orsomarso vs Popayan?
Orsomarso won 1-0 on October 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 51′Bayron CaicedoOrsomarso
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Orsomarso win at 40%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orsomarso have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Popayan have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quindio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(away) | 3-4 | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Orsomarso win, 2 draws, 3 Popayan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Popayan 2-2 Orsomarso | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Orsomarso 0-3 Popayan | Primera B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Popayan 0-1 Orsomarso | Primera B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Popayan 0-0 Orsomarso | Primera B |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Orsomarso 1-2 Popayan | Primera B |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Orsomarso 0-1 Popayan | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Orsomarso score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Popayan score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsomarso | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 1/15 |
| Popayan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orsomarso sit 13th in Primera B (30 points from 27 matches) and Popayan sit 12th (31 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Popayan | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 30 |
A question about Orsomarso vs Popayan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy